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Daily forex commentary on economic events, currency pairs, market observations
as well as support and resistance for major currencies traded in the foreign
exchange market.
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| | February 03, 2010 | | Euro lower in forex trading against the U.S. dollar | Greece has announced a reform package that includes higher taxes in order to try and get the country back on the right track fiscally. Euro zone leaders have applauded the efforts, and are now trying to figure out how to best support Greece in its efforts.
GFT's Boris Schlossberg reports in FX360 on the situation with regard to Greece:
As of now it appears that Greek authorities are making a
serious effort at reform, but the social costs of such moves could
prove exceedingly painful if growth in the region does not accelerate.
The combination of higher taxes and lower wages is unlikely to be
tolerated by the populace for long and could result in massive
political backlash, if it triggers a severe recession in the country.
EU authorities must walk a fine line between enforcing the proper
fiscal discipline on Greece in order to ensure the credibility of the
stability pact while at the same time avoiding the draconian measures
that would radicalize the Greek populace and turn them against EU
membership.
It's a fine line indeed (as Obama is finding out as he prepares to raise taxes), and the euro is still showing weakness today in forex trading. On the currency market, the euro continues to fall against the U.S. dollar, as equity markets struggle in Europe and forex traders wait to see how things go with Greece.
| Topic Tags: Boris Schlossberg, currency market, euro forex trading, forex traders, forex trading, FX360, U.S. dollar | |
| | February 02, 2010 | | Aussie plummets in forex trading | The Aussie is plummeting in forex trading on the currency market today, thanks to the decision made by the Reserve Bank of Australia today. Many analysts and forex traders expected the RBA to increase the rate in order to keep a lid on inflation. The decision to hold rates steady was a shocker -- and one that has speculation flying that maybe Aussie growth has been overrated.
As a result, the Australian dollar is plunging in currency trading, collapsing quickly as forex traders head elsewhere. Indeed, the Aussie lost 100 points to the U.S. dollar right after the decision was announced.
GFT's Boris Schlossberg offers some insight in FX360 as to why Australian monetary policy is looking for caution:
In choosing to err on the side of caution, the RBA was clearly
concerned with two key factors – the possibility of tightening by the
PBOC and the nascent signs of softness in the Australian housing
market. As we noted earlier, “monetary authorities in Canberra are
clearly concerned about the prospect of tightening from the China,
judging that any such move from the PBOC would naturally temper
economic activity in Australia. Due to its geographic proximity,
Australia has been the biggest beneficiary of China’s torrid growth and
will therefore be the most vulnerable economy to any slowdown from
Chinese demand.”
Perhaps it will seem like a prudent move, once we see how things play out in China.
| Topic Tags: Aussie, Australian dollar, Boris Schlossberg, currency market, currency trading, forex trading, FX360, U.S. dollar | |
| | January 29, 2010 | | Euro down in forex trading on U.S. GDP | Even though the European Central Bank has stated publicly that it is not planning to stage a dramatic rescue of Greece's economy, quietly euro zone leaders are contemplating their options. Greece is not so unimportant that the euro zone is ready to lose the country.
GFT's Boris Schlossberg has information on a possible euro zone plan, and reports in FX360 on the options on the table for Greece:
“Greece will not default. Please. In the euro area, the default does
not exist," Mr. Almunia told Bloomberg TV. Asked if there was any
possibility Greece would leave the euro zone he said: "no chance."
Although Mr. Almunia stated publicly that there was no special European
plan for Greece, privately European monetary and fiscal officials
appear to be moving towards a consensus for some type of a rescue
package for the Greek economy. Greek GDP comprises only 3% of total EZ
output, but officials fear that the political cost of Greece’s exit
from the European monetary union would be far greater than the economic
numbers suggest. Officials worry that a default in Greek debt could
trigger a domino effect for the possible exit of other southern
European nations facing similar fiscal deficit problems.
The euro is already weakened in forex trading due to issues surrounding Greece, Portugal and other euro zone countries. The fact that U.S. GDP came in much higher than expected is not helping matters much, and the euro has now sunk through the 1.4000 mark and is struggling to find support at 1.3900.
| Topic Tags: Boris Schlossberg, euro forex trading, euro zone, forex trading, FX360, GFT, Greece, U.S. GDP | |
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