Excerpt from: Pro FX Commentary Lite
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| May 12, 2008 | | An excerpt from Pro Commentary | Price: 0.9370 | Resistance: | 0.9400 | 0.9420 | 0.9440 | 0.9475 | | Support: | 0.9348 | 0.9299 | 0.9274 | 0.9239 |
| Bias: | Loss of 0.9348-55 should generate follow-through to 0.9299 at least |
| Daily Bullish: | No additional gains above 0.9455 but losses which are following-through this morning. This doesn’t look too healthy for the upside. If price extends to 0.9299 watch this as there is a small risk this could cause a reversal higher. Before that to generate a move bullish stance we shall need a move back above 0.9395-00 followed by the 0.9420 high seen this morning. If seen it would help the bullish structure and imply gains back to 0.9470-80 at least and potentially back above 0.9504 for 0.9540. | | MT Bullish: | 12th May: The peak at 0.9455 is not encouraging for any bullish stance. We shall still need this and 0.9504 broken to maintain any possibility of reaching the 0.9637-66 area. | | Daily Bearish: | Friday saw the 0.9385-00 support basically hold but has broken through this morning and this is suggesting a stronger chance of losses. A break below the 0.9348-55 lows would maintain the bearish momentum to allow price to extend to 0.9299 at least. We should take a little care here as this does have potential to cause a reversal higher. Breach would keep the downside intact for a move below the 0.9274 low for 0.9239 and possibly 0.9204. | | MT Bearish: | 8th May: The break of 0.9380 is raising the risk of additional losses. The pattern is not quire clear but I suspect that a move below 0.9348 would allow a test of 0.9274-00 and later towards 0.9159 at least & 0.9063. |
ELLIOTT WAVE COMMENTS 
9th May It could still be that 0.9348 provided a low in Wave –b- and if so then the 0.9385-00 area needs to support and generate a further move higher above 0.9455 in Wave –c- of Wave –v-. There are two potential targets in Wave –v- - at the 66.7% projection at 0.9666 where Wave –c- will have extended by 138.2% and then higher at the 76.4% projection at 0.9720 where Wave –c- will have extended by 161.8%. Any earlier loss of 0.9300 and 0.9348 would most likely point to the 0.9540 high as a major high and thus see losses below 0.9274. Ian Copsey | Topic Tags: AUD, Australian, commentary, currencies, Dollar, elliott wave, forecasts, Forex, FX, resistance, support, technical analysis, US, USD | |
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